openstudy.id

Contributors

Roles are recorded per instrument, not as a standing title. What follows is evidence rather than credentials — the methodological decisions actually made, and the ones that had to be corrected. Judge it yourself.

Contributorall instruments

Taufik Adi Nugraha

Data science · statistics · machine learning · advanced visualization · software engineering

InstrumentCRediT roles
every instrumentMethodology · Formal analysis · Validation · Software · Data curation · Visualization

What this contributor does not have. Domain expertise in any of these subjects. That is what a collaborating author brings, and why the interpretation sections are open.

Contact

If one of the open instruments is your subject, this is the person to write to.

Judgementsdecisions on the record

Methodological decisions, with reasons

Each of these is a choice that could have gone the other way, and each is defensible or attackable on its merits. That is the standard a methods credit should be held to.

  • nightlights

    Re-ran the levels regression on annual composites 2012–2025 rather than accepting the published relationship. Rural R² of 0.825 in 2015 against 0.01 in the benchmark study pointed at the sensor product rather than at electrification — so the case reports the discontinuity instead of the correlation.

  • rice

    Calibrated the radar detector to the official survey with an interpretable OLS per kabupaten-month, carrying cropping intensity and observation density, rather than a single national scale factor. A scale factor would have made the headline agree and taught nothing; this keeps the residual structure visible — where detection over- and under-counts, and against what.

  • fire-haze

    Required the ignition model to clear both a per-cell day-of-year climatology and the CEMS Fire Weather Index, at every lead, with the climatology fitted on training folds only. A baseline fitted on the full record has seen the test set, which is a common and quiet way to publish skill that is not there.

  • forest-watch

    Computed the base rate before believing the headline. Three-quarters of alerted hectares fall inside a mill catchment — but sampling the alertable domain itself gives the share chance alone would produce, which is what makes the number informative or empty.

  • provenance

    Replaced a similarity threshold with a model relevance judgement after measuring that a question about a policy absent from the corpus scored 0.723 — above several answerable questions. No threshold can separate an adjacent topic from an answerable one, so the gate became a reading task and the threshold was demoted to a cost filter.

  • provenance

    Benchmarked five embedding models on the live corpus and found the entire multilingual-e5 family inverts — unanswerable questions outscoring answerable ones at every model size. The cause was range, not capacity. Also found that one hosted model silently returns a single vector for a batch, which had truncated an index to 28 of 1,383 rows.

Correctionswhat went wrong

Errors found and published

A page of successes is not evidence of judgement. These are cases where the first answer was wrong and the record says so.

  • Published a nowcast that is 41% worse than carrying last year forward, with the 99.5% intercept share stated, instead of dropping the model.
  • Replaced a gate tally that read 'one of three passed' with per-gate outcomes, which exposed two failing hard gates that the count had hidden.
  • Rewrote a house-rules checker four times after it produced three hundred false findings — a field named 'name' is not personal data, a gate id in an HTML attribute is not visible to a reader, and an outcome recorded as a boolean is still an outcome.
Implementation on these instruments was AI-assisted, disclosed on every case. The judgements above — which estimator, which baseline, what counts as failure — are the contributor's, and so is accountability for them.